A tweet alerted me to this article in The Times:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article7127904.ece
Its headline is outdated; the flow rate may well be in the area of 60,000 barrels per day, BP told Dutch daily NRC as reported on May 6:
http://www.nrc.nl/economie/article2538809.ece/Olieramp_mogelijk_groter_dan_eerder_aangenomen
US Secretary Salazar had previously stated he expected 100,000 barrels per day to go into the Gulf for about three months, also as reported by Dutch daily NRC, on May 2:
http://www.nrc.nl/buitenland/article2536830.ece/Obama_alles_doen_om_olielek_te_bestrijden
Much more interesting is the oxygen depletion (30%) apparently seen near some of the gushers and what Samantha Joye, marine science professor at the University of Georgia has to say about that. I’ll take her word for it.
The Gulf Stream may become even more important to the Gulf, then, and modelers – physical oceanographers – would surely be scrunching a lot of numbers related to that.
I wish I could say more about it, but I am not an expert on what can happen when you release such huge amounts of oil into the Gulf of Mexico and I don’t have the time to dive into it right now (but am, obviously, interested).
Something similar – a blowout with a large spill into the Gulf of Mexico – happened before, however, in the 1970s and apparently, the ecological impact was minimal at the time.
PS
Orcutt, B.N., S. B. Joye, S. Kleindienst, K. Knittel, A. Ramette, A. Reitz, V. A. Samarkin, T. Truede, and A. Boetius, 2009. Impact of natural oil and higher hydrocarbons on microbial diversity, distribution and activity in Gulf of Mexico cold seep sediments. Deep Sea Research, in press.